Zou Caisong, general manager of BYD's automotive electronics division, still believes that IT companies will not become competitors in automotive intelligence. "There is no problem of market partitioning, and more is the filling of car blank areas."
As the comrade-in-arms of the same trench, Li Shufu, chairman of Geely Automobile, spoke directly to an open cross-border dialogue with IT people two weeks ago. "IT is IT, cars are cars, and there is no competition for each other." ""
When Zou Caisong and Li Shufu asserted that “there is no rice bowlâ€, the spoiler has already stood at the door.
Sitting in the driving position of the Self-Driving-Car, the experiencer does not need to grip the steering wheel, and the car can travel at a speed of 60 kilometers per hour on the crowded streets of the US Mountain View (Google headquarters). This is not a science fiction film. The total road test for Self-Driving-Car has exceeded 500,000 miles.
When the car encounters a stop sign or a red light at an intersection, the sci-fi robot female voice will say "it is close to the zebra crossing", then the car stops and the traffic light turns green, and the steering wheel automatically turns left. If you still use a car or a pedestrian in front, Self-Driving-Car will first tentatively slow down, and then judge whether it passes according to the actual situation.
If the main control system detects a fault or the vehicle is in a relatively unfamiliar environment and cannot determine what kind of reaction to take, the car will remind the driver to operate manually. Therefore, at present, the main and auxiliary driving positions of Self-Driving-Car need to be seated, and there is no need to do anything in the habitual driving operation position, which often makes the experiencer feel at a loss.
Some local governments in the United States have allowed Self-Driving-Car to drive on the road. Google plans to market within five years, and drones are getting closer to the average consumer.
Google is like a jump-in shifting student. When many traditional car manufacturers are still working in a step-by-step manner, and they are versed in the basic intelligent courses such as “smart-assisted securityâ€, he directly specializes in frontier disciplines. Similar studies include Volvo, GM, Ford, Toyota, Honda, and Nissan.
At the Honda Global Media Conference held in November this year, Honda’s forward-thinking technology developers showed media reporters a driverless car modified by the Hybrid Accord, demonstrating zebra crossings, avoiding pedestrians, traffic lights on simulated roads. And obstacles that may enter the road.
See you after seven years
However, car companies and Google’s transfer students still have a lot of conflicting mindsets – most auto companies’ research on driverlessness is based on scientific research needs, and they hope to re-enter the market 20-30 years later. Life. But Google-led IT companies have the ambition to seize the auto-intelligence of the car, and believe that this view is too conservative and the cooperation is progressing too slowly.
An interesting phenomenon is that many IT vendors love to talk about information and entertainment interactive systems, while pushing the car companies forward; and the car company has been focusing on smart driving safety assist technology for several years, even if the technology is overwhelmed.
The current topic in this field is the “Fatigue Driving Warning Systemâ€. The lack of concentration of traffic jams on highways often causes accidents. Now almost all mainstream car companies have popularized driving warning aids such as cameras, mid-range radars and long-range radars.
This is completely the friction of both kinds of thinking.
In 2004, Volvo launched the world's first blind spot information system BLIS, which has been applied to many luxury cars. In the past two years, blind spot information systems have been widely used in mid- to high-end cars, such as the new generation Accord that Honda launched this year.
Electronic intervention has subverted the concept of active safety and passive safety of traditional vehicles beyond the boundaries of safety in the mechanical field. In July of this year, Volvo released “collision-free technologyâ€, including night-time pedestrian detection technology, animal detection technology, and roadside obstacle detection.
BYD's new model launched this year is equipped with HUD night vision system, remote control driving technology, voice control system, cruise control system, larger center console capacitive touch screen, electronic key, cloud service, including remote start engine. And air conditioning, remote unlocking and locking of vehicles, remote location of vehicles and remote vehicle health, etc.
These security-oriented technologies will be integrated into automation technology in the future. The mature technologies include: automatic parking—parallel parking or vertical reversing, adaptive cruise system and driving safety warning system.
However, the current technology still needs to be verified by the market. Nissan's forward-looking R&D personnel have developed an automatic lane change system and are installed on Xinda, but when this technology is introduced into China, Dongfeng Nissan needs to be eliminated. Because according to the system rules, when the distance to the front car is close to 1 meter, the system will automatically brake. On the urban roads that are congested in China, drivers are used to “grabbing the road†and cannot be applied at all.
Honda has also developed automatic braking systems and crisis lane changing systems, but only applies automatic braking systems to the new generation Accord. When obstacles on the driving route are detected, the system evaluates the degree of danger according to different distances. Three automatic measures for making sound warning, seat belt vibration reminder and forced braking.
The real effect is not ideal, so car manufacturers are afraid to relax. Researchers at the Honda Research Institute told 21st Century Business Herald that most of the technologies currently being developed by car companies include intelligent fully automatic parking systems, adaptive cruise systems with assisted steering and shop floor Internet systems.
Whether it is Mercedes-Benz, BMW or Volvo, BYD, they all believe that the era of driverlessness is far slower than what IT companies expect, and the driver's need for security may far exceed the expectations of IT thinking. Even if it is technically safe, it can be a difficult process to dispel the owner’s distrust of turning the steering wheel.
This seems to be a logical reason, but the real ideas of these automakers are: to help cater to the trend of car intelligence through assisted security, and to delay commercialization on IT companies' dominant travel solutions. arrival.
However, the research on intelligent security auxiliary functions is very mature, objectively setting up the basic technology platform for driverless driving, and the research focus of automobile manufacturers in the next year or two is the commercialization of low-speed following and remote control of vehicles. This field is an automobile enterprise. Compete with IT giants for the critical point of personal intelligent transportation characterized by driverlessness. Analysis from professional organizations, this time point will appear in 2020.
Ten years to understand a set of patterns
Around 2005, domestic car companies began to be sporadic and intelligent. At that time, the IT industry was booming in China, and software and hardware could not support the electronicization of automobiles. Five years later, in 2010, smartphones began to emerge, IT hardware and software products began to mature, and automotive electronics began to enter the strategic vision of domestic auto companies.
BYD Automotive Electronics Division began large-scale research and development of products at this stage. Spiral launched this year, has been loaded to lift the camera into the virtual air, forming a panoramic image for the car; headlight automatic steering system, night vision system, human and obstacle warning system.
The next stage is to connect all the electronic components into the vehicle interior in the car and connect the distributed electronic and electrical modules. Zou Caisong, general manager of BYD's automotive electronics division, said: "It took nearly a decade to get through this model."
At present, the integration direction of domestic car interior network is that if the owner does not wear a seat belt or does not have a hand brake, and the vehicle has a low fuel quantity, the voice will prompt the driver. When the latter two appear, the vehicle will automatically navigate to nearby gas stations and charging stations and select the best route.
For the direction of the future, the mainstream view divides the car intelligentization into three stages, firstly, the research on the auto-driving technology of the car, followed by the research on the communication between the vehicles, and finally through the field of human-machine interface. Research to enhance the experience of autonomous driving and car communication.
Volvo has also divided the automatic driving into four stages of evolution: driver-assisted driving, semi-automatic driving, high-automatic driving and fully automatic driving. However, the above two methods only have differences in expression, and the former emphasizes the specific technical scope to be adopted.
Most of the current car companies are between driver assisted driving and semi-automatic driving. This includes the data on the car sent out through some kind of communication device, including the power system and the interior environment, entertainment equipment, etc., through database mining technology, management, analysis of the car status.
Medium-term consensus: semi-automatic driving
The automotive industry's medium-term goal consensus is “to achieve semi-automaticâ€, including driver assistance systems, safety alert systems, blind zone displays, voice commands, voice and gesture recognition. It is also possible to guide the driver's optimal driving according to the driver's driving habits. For example, if there are too many brakes, the owner is reminded to pay attention to the item.
At the Global Media Conference in November this year, Honda provided a modified unmanned Accord for media reporters experience. The R&D staff set up a number of corners in the Jiugong format, pedestrians waiting for the zebra crossing, vehicles in the radar detection blind zone, etc. Urban roads, unmanned Accord can be automatically identified through the smooth passage.
However, if the pedestrian next to the zebra crossing does not cross the road and happens to face the road, the driverless car will not be able to recognize it and will stop and wait. The other two problems that R&D personnel think is unmanned: if you want to market, you need all the moving objects on the road, including bicycles, etc., to have signal launchers, to fill the accidents that avoid radar blind spots; The question is how to avoid attacks by network hackers after the car is connected to the car, the car and the device.
Silicon Valley is moving faster in intelligence. Although iCar has not yet been launched, Google's Self-Driving-Car has only had one accident in the past 500,000 miles of live road tests because the other party violated traffic rules.
Both Google and Tesla believe that the Internet era will soon be coming. According to data they have approved, by 2015, there will be 6.6 billion connected objects worldwide, of which 62 million will be estimated, and the car will be the third largest Internet object.
Google has been researching driverless cars for more than five years and is the owner of the most mature driverless car products. Traditional auto companies such as Mercedes-Benz and Continental have confirmed the development of unmanned vehicles with Google. However, Tesla and Nissan, which had reached preliminary intentions earlier, finally gave up similar cooperation with Google.
After a senior executive from Google (China) experienced Self-Driving-Car in the United States, he wrote: "I experienced a moment when I walked out of the car door. I found that my legs were soft. After all, it was the first time to experience such a thrilling high-tech. It seems to be on the road. It is also necessary to overcome psychological barriers before."
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