Recently, the third centralized bidding content of the State Grid Corporation of China was announced on its e-commerce platform. Huang Shouhong, chief analyst of Anxin Securities, said that according to the contents of the third centralized tender, it is estimated that the bidding equipment will cost about RMB 2.8 billion (excluding the medium voltage switchgear And Cable ), the third batch of last year increased by 75%. In the first half of this year, the State Grid Corporation of China purchased about 10.6 billion yuan of main equipment (excluding medium-voltage switchgear and cables), an increase of about 40% compared with the first half of last year. Both the number of tenders and the amount of tenders have increased.
Combining with the "12th Five-Year Plan" and "Planning" of the "12th Five-Year Plan" of the Smart Grid Industrialization Project released by the Ministry of Science and Technology on June 4, the nine key tasks: Large-scale intermittent new energy grid-connected technology and grid technology supporting the development of electric vehicles , Large-scale energy storage systems, intelligent distribution technology, large-scale power grid intelligent operation and control technology, intelligent power transmission technology and equipment, power grid information and communication technology, flexible transmission and transformation technology and equipment, smart grid integration and comprehensive demonstration.
The nine major tasks are in line with the thinking of the two major power grid companies in the smart grid planning. The nine key tasks are the key points and difficulties in the construction of smart grids. The two major power grid companies have accelerated the construction of smart grids and the power equipment market. Another round of opportunities is ushered in.
In the next few years, the growth of high-voltage and ultra-high voltage substation capacity will tend to be stable, but given that the price of smart secondary equipment is slightly higher than that of traditional secondary equipment, it is expected to become intelligent with secondary equipment. The improvement of the conversion rate and the increase in the proportion of secondary equipment in substations will increase the demand for secondary equipment in substations, which will still be higher than the growth rate of the power transmission equipment industry. Guo Jing Securities analyst Yang Jingmei analyzed that.
In traditional substations, secondary devices such as measurement, control, detection, metering, and protection functions are dispersedly deployed and operated in isolation, and the primary and secondary devices are connected by cables. The development of smart substations requires the integration of secondary equipment at the bay level to form an integrated smart component and achieve communication through optical fibers and primary and station-level devices.
With technological advancement, smart substations will not have the distinction between primary equipment and secondary equipment in the future, and secondary equipments with functions of measurement, control, detection, metering, and protection will all be integrated into the primary equipment to form intelligent equipment to meet Smart substation requirements for automation and intelligence.
Yang Jingmei believes that intelligent secondary equipment not only raises its own technical barriers, but also has a higher integration requirement for manufacturers' integration capabilities. Secondary equipment manufacturers with high technology and complete product lines will be the ultimate winners. Therefore, with the in-depth development of smart substations, leading enterprises in secondary equipment manufacturing will fully benefit.
In addition, Yang Jingmei stated that with the bidding of secondary equipment for substations being centralized by the provincial companies to the State Grid Corporation of China, the trend of further increase in market concentration has begun to show. The leading enterprises of secondary equipment will obtain an average growth rate higher than the growth of the industry.
The potential for transformation of distribution automation is huge. Generally, if the reliability level of the Power Supply is lower than 99.9%, the reliability level can be improved by investing in the primary equipment; if the reliability index of the power supply exceeds 99.9%, the reliability of the power supply can be improved. Sexuality is only achieved through distribution automation.
From an economic point of view, after improving the level of distribution automation in China, economic losses can be reduced to 85 billion yuan. Compared with the distribution automation investment of about 10 billion yuan annually, the economic benefits are significant.
Yang Jingmei stated that according to estimates, if the current power distribution equipment is automatically transformed, the total market of distribution automation terminals and main stations in cities including 32 provincial capitals, 283 prefecture-level cities, and 2010 county-level cities will be included. The capacity will reach 57.6 billion yuan and 9.1 billion yuan respectively, and the total market capacity will be close to 70 billion yuan. If the investment in the communications network is taken into consideration, the total market capacity will not be less than 100 billion yuan.
Assuming that the transformation of distribution automation is completed within 10 years and the automation requirements for new distribution equipment are taken into account, the average annual market capacity may reach 12 billion yuan. In 2010, China's distribution automation market demand is less than 1 billion yuan. Therefore, the potential for distribution automation growth is huge in the coming years.
Huang Shonghong, chief analyst of Essence Securities, believes that smart grid construction will be long-term and will continue to be hot. Given the macroeconomic downturn and the uncertainties in the future, the certainty of the structural growth of the grid equipment sector must be taken seriously by the market.
Combining with the "12th Five-Year Plan" and "Planning" of the "12th Five-Year Plan" of the Smart Grid Industrialization Project released by the Ministry of Science and Technology on June 4, the nine key tasks: Large-scale intermittent new energy grid-connected technology and grid technology supporting the development of electric vehicles , Large-scale energy storage systems, intelligent distribution technology, large-scale power grid intelligent operation and control technology, intelligent power transmission technology and equipment, power grid information and communication technology, flexible transmission and transformation technology and equipment, smart grid integration and comprehensive demonstration.
The nine major tasks are in line with the thinking of the two major power grid companies in the smart grid planning. The nine key tasks are the key points and difficulties in the construction of smart grids. The two major power grid companies have accelerated the construction of smart grids and the power equipment market. Another round of opportunities is ushered in.
In the next few years, the growth of high-voltage and ultra-high voltage substation capacity will tend to be stable, but given that the price of smart secondary equipment is slightly higher than that of traditional secondary equipment, it is expected to become intelligent with secondary equipment. The improvement of the conversion rate and the increase in the proportion of secondary equipment in substations will increase the demand for secondary equipment in substations, which will still be higher than the growth rate of the power transmission equipment industry. Guo Jing Securities analyst Yang Jingmei analyzed that.
In traditional substations, secondary devices such as measurement, control, detection, metering, and protection functions are dispersedly deployed and operated in isolation, and the primary and secondary devices are connected by cables. The development of smart substations requires the integration of secondary equipment at the bay level to form an integrated smart component and achieve communication through optical fibers and primary and station-level devices.
With technological advancement, smart substations will not have the distinction between primary equipment and secondary equipment in the future, and secondary equipments with functions of measurement, control, detection, metering, and protection will all be integrated into the primary equipment to form intelligent equipment to meet Smart substation requirements for automation and intelligence.
Yang Jingmei believes that intelligent secondary equipment not only raises its own technical barriers, but also has a higher integration requirement for manufacturers' integration capabilities. Secondary equipment manufacturers with high technology and complete product lines will be the ultimate winners. Therefore, with the in-depth development of smart substations, leading enterprises in secondary equipment manufacturing will fully benefit.
In addition, Yang Jingmei stated that with the bidding of secondary equipment for substations being centralized by the provincial companies to the State Grid Corporation of China, the trend of further increase in market concentration has begun to show. The leading enterprises of secondary equipment will obtain an average growth rate higher than the growth of the industry.
The potential for transformation of distribution automation is huge. Generally, if the reliability level of the Power Supply is lower than 99.9%, the reliability level can be improved by investing in the primary equipment; if the reliability index of the power supply exceeds 99.9%, the reliability of the power supply can be improved. Sexuality is only achieved through distribution automation.
From an economic point of view, after improving the level of distribution automation in China, economic losses can be reduced to 85 billion yuan. Compared with the distribution automation investment of about 10 billion yuan annually, the economic benefits are significant.
Yang Jingmei stated that according to estimates, if the current power distribution equipment is automatically transformed, the total market of distribution automation terminals and main stations in cities including 32 provincial capitals, 283 prefecture-level cities, and 2010 county-level cities will be included. The capacity will reach 57.6 billion yuan and 9.1 billion yuan respectively, and the total market capacity will be close to 70 billion yuan. If the investment in the communications network is taken into consideration, the total market capacity will not be less than 100 billion yuan.
Assuming that the transformation of distribution automation is completed within 10 years and the automation requirements for new distribution equipment are taken into account, the average annual market capacity may reach 12 billion yuan. In 2010, China's distribution automation market demand is less than 1 billion yuan. Therefore, the potential for distribution automation growth is huge in the coming years.
Huang Shonghong, chief analyst of Essence Securities, believes that smart grid construction will be long-term and will continue to be hot. Given the macroeconomic downturn and the uncertainties in the future, the certainty of the structural growth of the grid equipment sector must be taken seriously by the market.
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