The obstruction of the price of materials led to the decline of 3Q operation of solar silicon wafer fabs

In the third quarter, the prices of solar wafer products continued to decline, but the price of upstream polycrystalline materials fell less than expected. The market believes that the solar wafer manufacturers in the third quarter will be even more difficult to operate than downstream battery manufacturers. . For the Taiwan Department of Wafers, the decline in the fourth quarter of polysilicon production sources is probably the most direct way to save lives. It also depends on the mainland market's quotations for wafers to see if there is a chance of losing profits.

Although solar energy companies entered the final sprint period of the third quarter, but for the solar wafer fabs that have been rated poorly for the entire season, the solar energy industry said that it is almost “definitively determined” because the price of silicon wafers is at The three quarters continued to slide, but the price of polysilicon was partly due to the limited downside, so that the wafer fabs suffered a lot.

According to sources in the industry, with the new financial report proposed by Green Energy, the annual production capacity of over 1 billion watts and the production capacity is fully opened, and the post-tax loss in the third quarter is expected to reach NT$587 million, which is the most significant highlight of Jingjing. The representatives of the “two-burner” of the round factory and other Taiwan-based wafer fabs are also expected to face similar situations, and many are currently responding to the reduction of production capacity.

Compared with solar cell factories, most of them were in the beginning of the second quarter, that is, the market conditions of the reaction terminal market were not good. As a result, the silicon wafer fabs did not start to decline from the high point until May. Therefore, the 2nd quarter of the wafer fab loss ratio The battery factory is light, but the solar industry believes that the shadow of the silicon wafer fab in the third quarter is relatively larger than that of the battery factory because the battery factory has succeeded in reducing the bargaining price of wafers in the upper reaches. Sources of cost pressures, but most of the bargaining prices of the upstream polycrystalline silicon plants have not been effective.

Although the price quoted by Taiwanese manufacturers of 6-inch polycrystalline silicon wafers was the same as that of the battery plant, the price of solar wafers continued to decline after the solar photovoltaic exhibition in Europe in early September. However, some manufacturers still insisted on 1.9-2 US dollars per tablet, preferring to cut production and do not want to lower prices. The main reason is to reduce loss considerations; compared to the mainland market because of lower production costs compared with Taiwanese companies, the current 6-inch polycrystalline silicon wafers offer an average of 1.8 to 1.85 US dollars.

Solar industry believes that in the fourth quarter, the only key to reverse the weakness of fabs is still the price of polysilicon in the hands of the contract, but given that wafer prices in mainland China dominate the global market, if the price of wafers in mainland China is still low Compared with Polysilicon, the rate of decline is large. For Taiwanese companies, I am afraid there is still pressure to break away from losses.

At the beginning of the third quarter, when the market conditions were back in the spring, Taiwanese silicon wafer fabs had publicly expected that the mainland silicon wafer fabs could effectively raise the price of silicon wafers. However, the mainland first-line plants were rated as ghosts at the time, so that the quotation was hard to see. As a result, Taiwanese plants have been forced to continue to follow up their bids; Taiwanese factories have also actively adopted high-efficiency solar silicon wafers to increase their average selling prices.

Taiwan-based solar wafer fabs include Sino-American wafers, green energy, Danone, and Asahi Crystal. Continental Solar wafer fabs are represented by GCL, LDK, and Yuhui.

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