The rapid growth of production and sales in the electrician industry cannot be ignored

Up to now, the economic performance of the electrical industry has been good, and it has maintained a rapid growth in the total economic indicators such as production and sales, a high rate of product sales, good convergence, and a significant increase in imports and exports.

However, it is worth noting that due to a variety of factors, it will affect the future development of the entire industry, and the outlook should not be too optimistic.

The five major features of economic operation are the beginning of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period. Since the beginning of this year, the economic operation of the electrical industry has exhibited five major characteristics.

First, the increase in production and sales reached 31%, and the characteristics of rapid growth were obvious. From January to June, the total industrial output value reached 203,721 million yuan, an increase of 31.40% over the previous year; the industrial sales value reached 1972.43 billion yuan, an increase of 31.05% over the same period of last year.

The second is that the cumulative product sales rate is close to 97%, but the fluctuations in each month this year are relatively large, the lowest month fell to 96.00%, and since June it has risen to the highest point this year, reaching 97.58%.

Third, the output of major products has increased steadily. Although the output of power generation equipment has declined from the high-speed growth at the beginning of the year, it is still higher than 22%. The growth rate of power generation equipment is obvious, of which the wind power equipment is the most “eye-catching”, and the increase rate has been above 50%; the output growth rate of hydro-generator units has risen month by month in the first five months; the growth rate of turbine generators for thermal power equipment is “high to low” The overall output growth rate fell from 65.28% in January to February to 22.03% at the end of June, showing a declining trend month by month. The transformers, which are the main representatives of power transmission and transformation equipment, have risen by less than one digit since the beginning of this year, and have failed to achieve a breakthrough in the “low growth” state last year.

Fourth, the import and export trade grew steadily. Exports exceeded imports, and the cumulative surplus increased month by month. Since the beginning of this year, the import and export trade of the electrical industry has grown steadily. The year-on-year increase in the total volume of imports and exports has remained at 20%. Exports exceed imports, and the surplus has increased month by month. As of the end of June, the cumulative surplus has reached US$13.429 billion, an increase of 36.88% compared to the same period in 2010.

Fifth, the rise in the prices of various factors and the increase in production costs have led to an increase in profits that is lower than the increase in production and sales.

The future situation is not optimistic. As of now, the development of the electrical industry is in good shape, but some unfavorable factors will affect the future development of the industry. Therefore, it cannot be taken lightly.

First, the cost has grown dramatically. The rising prices of raw materials and other factors of production, as well as the increase in financial costs, have significantly increased corporate costs. At the same time, due to the power shortage will seriously affect the normal production of enterprises. According to analysis, the domestic and international macroeconomic environment has determined that China’s de facto "inflation" situation will not be alleviated in the near future. The higher and higher prices of raw materials used in the electrician industry, although occasionally down, continued rising prices of raw materials have become an indisputable fact.

Due to the industrial gradient transfer, the change in employment outlook of the new-born labor force after the 90th, and the rising cost of living in the company's location, the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions have caused severe shortages of workers, so that enterprises must use significant salary increases to retain people and cause enterprises to Labor costs soared. According to enterprises, the current wages of workers have increased by an average of 20% or more. In the case of an increase of 31% in the production and sales of the electrical industry, the financial expenses increased by nearly 34%, of which interest expenses increased by 44%. In addition, the increase in financial expenses, especially bank loan interest rates, also contributes to pushing up corporate costs to a certain extent.

Second, low-cost vicious competition has caused chaos in the market. In recent years, due to the market monopoly of power transmission equipment users in the tendering process of the project, the implementation of low-cost bids in the process, resulting in the current transmission and transformation equipment manufacturing companies there is a serious low-cost vicious competition. As the bid price is too low, some successful bidders even ignore the product quality, cut corners, and shoddy. These practices disrupt the normal market order and undermine the fair competition environment; in particular, they pose security risks for power grid construction projects.

Second, loan difficulties have become one of the constraints of the development of SMEs. At the end of 2010, the Central Economic Work Conference proposed that a prudent monetary policy should be implemented in 2011. To cope with this policy, the central bank has increased the deposit reserve ratio of commercial banks six times this year. In a sense, this policy has already imposed certain constraints on the development of SMEs. According to statistics, most of the electrical and electronic industry enterprises are small and medium-sized enterprises. Therefore, the impact of this policy on the development of enterprises cannot be underestimated.

Relevant recommendations to promote the development of the country's macroeconomic situation and the actual situation of the electrical industry, in order to promote the sustained and healthy development of the industry, special recommendations.

It is suggested that relevant departments such as the government promulgate laws and regulations to further standardize the market order. The users of power transmission and transformation equipment companies should be more rational in future bidding projects, change the existing low-cost bids, call for equipment manufacturers to abandon the low-cost competition habits, regulate the development of enterprises through product structure adjustment and transformation and upgrade, and at the same time urgently hope that relevant The government departments have stepped up efforts to punish those who disregard product quality and unilaterally pursue low-cost and low-price enterprises, and regard the work of regulating the market order as a systematic project. They can fully utilize the role of industry associations through authorization and fully implement the role of the industry association. Do this work well.

In addition, it is recommended that relevant government departments issue targeted policies to provide necessary guarantees for liquidity loans to manufacturing enterprises, and to prevent as much as possible the over-control of commercial banks from causing the company's funds to be tight and affect the normal operation of production and operation.

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